The Thirty Years Culture War

Submitted by Ben Bache on

The whirlwind of events of the last several weeks have displaced more familiar political analyses in much popular media. An apparent attempt at assassinating former president Donald Trump on the eve of the Republican convention, Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race, and Vice President Harris replacing him at the head of the ticket would each have been unusual, striking events individually, but taken together sent commentators and analysts in search of precedents.

Yet amid or in spite of the unusual events, some things quickly reverted to normal. Despite a professed “toning down” of violent language from Republicans, Trump and newly anointed elegiac hillbilly VP candidate JD Vance “doubled down” on violent language, especially that directed at migrants and immigrants. And with that, some things were back to “normal,” at least as far as Republican candidate sound bites were concerned.

What had in the runup to the events of mid-July seemed newly bold right-wing rhetoric pervading Republican party communications has been treated by some commentators as something new. Certainly the January 6, 2021 riot represented a new level of violence in the nation’s capital. To find a precedent for the placement of bombs one must look back to the 1983 bombing of the Senate side of the Capitol building, ostensibly to protest US involvement in Grenada. In its conception and coordination, however, January 6 most closely resembled the so-called Brooks Brothers riot in Miami in 2000, largely coordinated by Bush campaign official Brad Blakeman, but including future Trump partisan Roger Stone and others who would become members of the George W. Bush administration. Like the January 6 riot, the goal of the Brooks Brothers riot was to stop a vote-counting process, resorting to violence if necessary.

In his recent book When the Clock Broke, writer John Ganz locates the origins of multiple aspects of our current political and cultural environment in events, people, and actions from the 90s. For example: the mythologizing of criminal figures as popular outlaws he associates with legendary mafioso John Gotti; the trend toward political movements that purport to oppose political movements he associates with the quixotic campaigns of Ross Perot; the rightward shift of the Republican party he associates with one-time grand wizard of the Ku Klux Klan David Duke, and serial presidential candidate Pat Buchanan.

Trump's Bogus Denial of Project 2025: Turning Point?

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During the recent BET awards TV broadcast, host Taraji P, Henson used the platform to issue repeated warnings that a win by Republican Donald Trump in the November presidential election would, in Philadelphia Inquirer’s Will Bunch’s words, “undermine our fundamental rights.” Bunch, who has been one of the few op-ed writers at a major news outlet to focus on Trump and his lies in the aftermath of the recent presidential debate, sees Henson’s use of her platform to warn of the GOP’s plans to drastically change the relationship between government and citizens as a potential turning point in the presidential campaign. While the details of Project 2025 are apparently not widely known, the 900+ page document is publicly available, and touted by right-wing pundits – including principal architect, Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts – on conservative media.

Voting rights website Democracy Docket describes Project 2025 as “a collection of policy transition proposals” that would enable Trump, if elected, to “vastly remake the federal government most effectively to carry out an extremist far-right agenda.”

The Party Formerly Known As Republican - Trump and Beyond

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Trump and Beyond

The 2016 Republican primary featured 17 candidates. Pop data analysis website fivethirtyeight.com has an analysis of each failed candidate’s arc titled “How the Republican Field Dwindled From 17 To Donald Trump.” The reasons are varied, from Ted Cruz being too extreme and disliked, to Marco Rubio lacking a base, to Republicans liking Ben Carson, but not enough to vote for him.

The Party Formerly Known As Republican - "W" to the Tea Party

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"W" to the Tea Party

“Poppy” Bush's son, George W. Bush (aka “W”), worked with campaign manager Lee Atwater during Bush senior’s presidential campaign. In W’s 1994 campaign for Governor of Texas his master of disinformation was political operative and self-described “nerd,” Karl Rove. Rove remained a key advisor to Bush until 2007.

The Party Formerly Known As Republican - Ford to Gingrich

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Ford to Gingrich

Gerald Ford had been appointed Vice President under the terms of the 25th Amendment in December 1973 following Spiro Agnew’s resignation. When Ford assumed the presidency in August 1974 following Nixon’s resignation, and chose Nelson Rockefeller as his Vice President some saw it as a resurgence of the moderate wing of the Republican party.

The Party Formerly Known As Republican - Hoover to Nixon

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Hoover to Nixon

In 1928 the Democratic candidate for president was Alfred E. Smith, a Roman Catholic and opponent of prohibition. Republican Herbert Hoover defeated him as Republicans carried the former Confederate states for the first time since Reconstruction. Republicans resisted government intervention in the economy in response to the stock market crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression.

The Party Formerly Known As Republican - Origins

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Origins

In 1820 the Missouri Compromise was enacted by the US Congress as an effort to preserve the balance of political power between slaveholder and free states. Missouri was admitted as a slave state; Maine was admitted as a free state. Perhaps more significantly, slavery was also prohibited in the former Louisiana territory north of latitude 36° 30’, which was part of the boundary between Missouri and Arkansas.

The Party Formerly Known As Republican

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Introduction

“The Republican Party is an authoritarian outlier,” wrote Vox’s Zach Beauchamp in September 2020. Beauchamp was writing in the context of the rush to confirm Federalist Society darling Amy Coney Barrett as a Supreme Court justice following the death of liberal icon Ruth Bader Ginsburg, despite several Republicans having refused to consider a nominee to the court “in an election year” during the Obama administration. Citing experts on comparative politics including Harvard’s Steven Zilitsky, who with Daniel Ziblatt authored New York Times bestselling How Democracies Die, Beauchamp writes that the GOP should no longer be considered in the same category with traditional conservative political parties such as Canada’s Conservative Party (CPC) or Germany’s Christian Democratic Party (CDU), but rather as an extremist party like Orban’s Fidesz in Hungary, or Erdogan’s AKP in Turkey, which “actively worked to dismantle democracy in their own countries.”

In this series of articles we’ll trace the evolution of today’s white nationalist authoritarian Republican party from its origins in opposition to the Kansas-Nebraska Act of 1854, through the party’s nomination of Barry Goldwater in 1964 and his “Southern Strategy” appealing to racial fears of southern white voters, to Newt Gingrich’s “Contract with America,” to the Tea Party, and Donald Trump. In conclusion we’ll look at predictions by Zilitsky and Ziblatt and others, and their prognoses for the Republican Party and American democracy.

 

The Originalism Fallacy

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On day two of Amy Coney Barrett’s Senate confirmation hearing , Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham asked, “You say you’re an originalist. Is that true?” “Yes,” Barett replied. “What does that mean in English?” Graham continued. “… [T]hat means that I interpret the Constitution as a law, that I interpret its text as text, and I understand it to have the meaning that it had at the time people ratified it. So that meaning doesn’t change over time and it’s not up to me to update it or infuse my own policy views into it,” Barrett replied, reciting a now familiar mantra.

Some time later that day Senator Mike Lee of Utah probed further: “Tell me why textualism and originalism are important to you.” “… I think originalism and textualism, to me, boil down … to a commitment to the rule of law," Barrett said, "to not disturbing or changing or updating or adjusting ... in line with my own policy preferences what that law required.” “And is it the subjective motivation, the subjective intent of an individual lawmaker or drafter of a constitutional provision that we’re looking at?” Lee continued, “Or is it original public meaning? And if so, what’s the difference between those two?” “It’s original public meaning, not the subjective intent of any particular drafter,” Barrett predictably replied. “So one thing I have told my students in constitutional law is that the question is not what would James Madison do? We’re not controlled by how James Madison perceived any particular problem. That’s because the law is what the people understand it to be, not what goes on in any individual legislator’s mind.”

These exchanges present the rote formulation of originalism and textualism – legal jargon that has seemingly improbably found its way into popular media. Writing in 2011 on the occasion of members of the House of Representatives reading the Constitution aloud at the opening of its legislative session, University of Chicago’s Eric Posner noted with some surprise at the ascendance of originalism signaled by the House’s homage. “Although originalist ideas have floated around since the Founding,” Posner wrote in the New Republic, “the modern theory was produced by a small group of mostly marginalized (conservative) academics, whose ideas were rarely taken seriously by the most influential (liberal) scholars in the top law schools.”